Economic Watch: China's inflation stays within annual targe

Time:2019-10-17 08:44:25      Source: xinhuanet.com

China's consumer prices in September remained within the annual target of around 3 percent, with more stabilizing macroeconomic measures to take effect in the near future.

The country's consumer price index (CPI), a main gauge of inflation, rose 3 percent year on year in September, up from 2.8 percent in August and representing the highest growth this year, the National Bureau of Statistics said Tuesday.

The average growth rate in the first nine months of this year came in at 2.5 percent, well within the around 3-percent range set by the government.

Food prices grew 11.2 percent year on year last month, up from 10 percent in August while non-food prices gained 1 percent, 0.1 percentage points lower than that of August.

Due to a shortage of supply, prices of the staple meat pork were one of the main drivers of the CPI uptick, while the growth rate narrowed on a month-on-month basis to 19.7 percent in September, said NBS senior statistician Shen Yun.

Although pork may continue to drive up food prices and the CPI in the fourth quarter, stabilizing measures issued by the government will eventually render supply-demand balance in the market, according to Lian Ping, chief economist at the Bank of Communications.

China has repeatedly pledged to spur hog production and stabilize pork supply. A total of 30,000 tonnes of pork was released from the national stockpile last month after an outbreak of African swine fever dented the staple meat's market supply.

The country imported 1.33 million tonnes of pork in the first nine months, up 43.6 percent year on year, as another way to shore up supply.

A slew of work plans was also released last month on subsidizing hog farm expansion and renovation, raising the sum insured on hogs and exempting toll fees for vehicles transporting pork.

Pork price hikes spilled over to beef, lamb and poultry, while vegetable and fruit prices both dropped from the previous month.

Keeping consumer prices stable is high on the government agenda, as the State Council urged efforts in an executive meeting on Sept. 26 to secure the supply of basic necessities, track and analyze the trend of commodity prices in the international market, and strengthen market supervision and price monitoring.

Excluding food and energy, the core inflation level remains relatively low, noted analysts.

"The CPI uptick we're experiencing now indicates short-term structural inflation driven by pork prices that requires no monetary policy-level adjustments," said Zhang Jun, an analyst at Morgan Stanley Huaxin Securities.

Tuesday's data also showed the CPI in urban and rural areas registered year-on-year growth of 2.8 percent and 3.6 percent, respectively.

The producer price index, which measures costs for goods at the factory gate, fell 1.2 percent year on year in September.

Index RMB/t DoD Basis Date
Datong 5500 700 0 ex-mine 05-04
Shuozhou 5200 680 0 FOR 05-04
Ordos 5500 700 0 ex-mine 05-04
Yulin 6200 780 0 ex-mine 05-04
Liulin Low-sulphur 900 0 ex-mine 05-04
Gujiao Low-sulphur 1770 -50 FOR 05-04
Xingtai Low-sulphur 2360 0 ex-Factory 05-04
Yangquan PCI 1280 -30 FOR 05-04
Index RMB/t WoW WoW% Date
Qinhuangdao 507.0 1.0 0.20 05-04
Caofeidian 541.0 9.0 1.69 05-04
Huanghua 216.9 12.4 6.06 05-04
Guangzhou 291.2 3.0 1.04 04-27
coastal 6PPs 1629.8 44.7 2.82 07-02
North Ports 2697.8 53.0 2.00 02-01
Yangtze River delta 1242.5 -74.7 -5.67 02-01
South Ports 2233.4 -216.0 -8.82 02-01
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